cicyt UNIZAR

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics

New submissions

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New submissions for Tue, 20 Mar 18

[1]  arXiv:1803.06940 [pdf]
Title: The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: Looking Back (more than) 25 Years and Projecting Forward 25 Years
Authors: Tim Palmer
Comments: Submitted to Special Issue of the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society: 25 years of ensemble prediction
Subjects: Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph)

This paper has been written to mark 25 years of operational medium-range ensemble forecasting. The origins of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System are outlined, including the development of the precursor real-time Met Office monthly ensemble forecast system. In particular, the reasons for the development of singular vectors and stochastic physics - particular features of the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System - are discussed. The author speculates about the development and use of ensemble prediction in the next 25 years.

Replacements for Tue, 20 Mar 18

[2]  arXiv:1802.08901 (replaced) [pdf, ps, other]
Title: A quasi-physical dynamic reduced order model for thermospheric mass density via Hermitian Space Dynamic Mode Decomposition
Subjects: Space Physics (physics.space-ph); Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph); Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability (physics.data-an)
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